Facts · Guess the stat

How well do you know surveys and polling?

Guess the real numbers behind how surveys and polls really work, see how everyone else guessed, and get the source.

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What is the typical margin of error for a standard Gallup national poll?

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Surveys by the numbers

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6%

About what share of people answered when Pew Research called for a phone survey in 2018?

Phone survey response rates have fallen for decades, partly due to robocalls and caller-ID screening.

Source: Pew Research Center (2018) pewresearch.org

about 3.4 billion

About how many robocalls were Americans receiving per month around 2018, one reason survey response rates fell?

The flood of robocalls made people far less likely to pick up an unknown number, including pollsters.

Source: Pew Research Center (2018) pewresearch.org

2018

In what year did Pew Research shift its main panel recruitment from phone calls to mailed address-based sampling?

Address-based sampling uses the US Postal Service's residential list to reach a broader, more random group of households.

Source: Pew Research Center (2018) pewresearch.org

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Each question asks you to guess a real number about surveys, polling and public-opinion research. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

How is the daily round scored?

Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

Where do the numbers come from?

Every stat links to its source, such as government statistics agencies, research organizations and industry groups. Figures are checked against the source before they go live.

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